|
|
-
Recursos bibliográficos en papel y digitales -
- libros, artículos de revistas,
ponencias de eventos, etc. -
» Resultado:
23 registros
| Registro 1 de 23 |
| Autor: |
Avila, Jorge C. - |
| Título: |
Orígenes políticos del riesgo argentino |
| Fuente: |
Documentos de Trabajo UCEMA, n.577. Universidad del CEMA |
| Páginas: |
21 p. |
| Año: |
nov. 2015 |
| Resumen: |
The purpose of the essay is twofold: a) explore the ability of S. Huntington’s model of political development for societies in process of modernization to explain the Argentine political history in 1880-1955; b) prove the hypothesis that mass pretorianism is inherently unstable.We conclude the evidence supports the Huntington’s model. In other words, the model explains the changes that the political system underwent in the period, as much as the growing instability between the traditional civil order of 1862-1912 and the mass pretorian order of 1946-1955. Furthermore, we show that Argentine risk was high for mass pretorian orders and relatively low for civil orders and (radical and oligarchic) pretorian orders. It seems that the fiscal deficit plays an important role in connecting the political regime with Argentine risk. |
| Alcance temporal: |
1880-1955 |
| Palabras clave: |
DESARROLLO SOCIAL |
POLITICA DE DESARROLLO |
MODERNIZACION |
ANALISIS HISTORICO |
ASPECTOS POLITICOS |
TEORIA DEL DESARROLLO |
INDICADORES |
POLITICA |
RIESGO PAIS |
|
| Solicitar por: |
HEMEROTECA D + datos de Fuente |
| Registro 5 de 23 |
| Autor: |
Avila, Jorge - |
| Título: |
A country-risk approach to the business cycle. With an application to Argentina |
| Fuente: |
Documentos de Trabajo UCEMA, n.435. Universidad del CEMA |
| Páginas: |
22 p. |
| Año: |
nov. 2010 |
| Resumen: |
The paper holds that the country risk premium is the triggering factor of the business cycle in a small, financially open and highly volatile economy like that of Argentina. A rise of the premium determines a capital outflow, an aggregate demand contraction and a recession; a fall of the premium determines a capital inflow, an aggregate demand expansion and a boom. We build a model where country risk plays a central role in macroeconomic equilibrium. We evaluate the empirical relationship between country risk and GDP, consumption, investment, and the current account balance. We compare our country-risk model with those of various schools of macroeconomic thought. Main conclusions are: a) Country-risk perceptions of foreign and local investors determine the fraction of world income they like to spend in the small country and the country’s GDP adjusts passively to that fraction. b) Country risk causes a sort of labor unemployment that resembles involuntary unemployment. c) Openness softens the impact of a rise in country risk. d) Argentine time series for the period 1985-97 show a strong negative correlation between country risk and those aggregate variables, with causality going from the former to the latter. |
| Palabras clave: |
RIESGOS |
VOLATILIDAD |
NEGOCIOS |
CAPITAL |
RECESION ECONOMICA |
MACROECONOMIA |
INVERSIONES |
CONSUMO |
INVERSIONES INTERNACIONALES |
POLITICA DE EMPLEO |
DESEMPLEO |
CICLOS ECONOMICOS |
ANALISIS ECONOMETRICO |
MODELOS ECONOMETRICOS |
INVESTIGACION ECONOMICA |
|
| Solicitar por: |
HEMEROTECA D + datos de Fuente |
>> Nueva
búsqueda
<<
Inicio
|
